Scenario:

The IMDEX Asia (International Maritime Defense Exhibition and Conference) is held

every two years at the Singapore Expo, 1 Expo Drive, Singapore. This year, a Russian

delegation proposes to showcase a new patrol boat at IMDEX Asia. A Russian brochure says

that the boat is an advanced type of a very fast patrol boat, highly maneuverable, and

optionally equipped with a new anti-ship cruise missile. Reportedly the craft has a new hull

design that employs stealth technology and a revolutionary propulsion system.

• The craft was designed by the Almaz Central Marine Design Bureau of St. Petersburg,

Russia. The Russians plan to set up a booth at the exposition with pictures of the boat

and the missile. Reportedly, the boat’s designer Sergei, and the missile’s designer,

Valeri, and the sales representative, Viktor, will be at the booth. They may also be at

the Russian hospitality suite in the Pan Pacific Singapore hotel during the evening. All

Russian attendees are staying at the Pan Pacific Singapore Hotel.

• The boat itself is anchored in the center of Marina Bay, Singapore harbor,

approximately 250 yards from the nearest shore. It has one live-aboard guard, Igor,

who reportedly has a propensity for drink. When off-duty, Igor can be found at Harry’s

Bar on Boat Quay, a sleazy nightspot that features a live jazz band and jam sessions.

• Over the next two days, the boat will be taken out in the Straits of Malacca for a test

demonstration of its speed and maneuverability. You have received reports that the

Russians plan to use the craft to conduct a live anti-ship missile firing demonstration

for their guests against a dummy target located in the Straits of Malacca. The guests,

who will be on board during the test, include representatives of all the potential

customer groups which could include terrorists, narcotics traffickers, and military

officers from Indonesia, Pakistan, Venezuela, and the Philippines, all interested in the

craft for their own purposes.

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Additional Information:

COMINT between the development facility in St. Petersburg and its

test facility located near Kaspiysk, on the Caspian Sea has revealed that the craft was tested

on the Caspian Sea. A commercial imagery search has located a prototype at coordinates at

42° 52’ 55”N 47° 39’ 24”E.

Assignment:

Prepare a multi-INT collection plan against all the targets defined in the

scenario for analysts who are producing a comprehensive, multi-INT assessment for senior

leaders and operational commanders. The collection plan should include:

• Describe the collection scenario (specific targets, timing, limitations, and method of

collecting);

• Describe the expected benefits in terms of answers to the four sets of customer needs

(counterterrorism, counter narcotics, military/counter proliferation, and weapons systems

performance);

• Assess the risks associated with the collection effort;

• Describe priority collection requirements such as what might you need to process the

data, translation of foreign language material, or processing and exploitation of technical

collection. Develop a timeline for the use of the assets that you identify in this plan and

describe the communication among collectors that is required for the success of the effort.

Collection Planning Project

• Your paper should be written for your senior principal and should reflect a manager’s

perspective.

• You should think through the available resources (literal and non-literal), how you

would plan and sequence collection (i.e. HUMINT top priority followed by OSINT) to

satisfy analysts’ priority intelligence requirements.

• Think through your paper and develop an outline before you start writing; after you

have drafted your paper, review and edit for clarity and brevity.

Additional notes on each collection discipline:

HUMINT:

Postulate the specific assets you propose to use (attaches, specific recruited

sources or specific liaison sources, for example), and describe any additional features of the

scenario that you think would be useful in your plan. You can create notional recruited assets

to task. Describe these sources in detail but be realistic; do not use any of the Russian

attendees as already recruited assets.

COMINT:

Identify the sources and types of communications that might be collected,

and likely value of information collected. Possible communications include cell

phones; microwave point-point; push-to-talk (PTT) radios; fiber optic cable; wireless

computer networks; and internet communications. Identify potential COMINT liaison

organizations (COMINT services of friendly countries) that might be in a position to

assist.

GEOINT:

Consider the following types of imagery: Optical, SAR, nighttime infrared,

multispectral and hyper spectral imaging. Identify the imagery rating scale you are assuming

for each imagery type. Assume that you can obtain imagery of the target from different

aspects, both on land and while the vessel is underway on the water.

MASINT:

Identify the target(s) and what you are expecting to collect and various MASINT

technical capability.

OSINT:

Be specific about the type and source of any open source material you plan to exploit.

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